China- Pak ink new CPEC agreement
- China and Pakistan on Friday signed a new agreement on industrial cooperation as part of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) plan during Pakistan’s Prime Minister's ongoing visit to Beijing.
- The industrial cooperation agreement is a key part of what is being called “phase two” of CPEC.
- The first phase primarily involved Chinese investments in energy projects as well as road infrastructure.
China Pakistan Economic Corridor
- It is a part of China’s ambitious One Belt One Road (OBOR) Initiative to link China with Europe.
- Started in 2013, the CPEC is a developmental project between Pakistan and its all-weather friend China.
- CPEC is a 46 billion dollar project connecting Kashgar in Xinjiang province of China, with Gwadar port in Balochistan which is the largest province in Pakistan.
- It is connected through a vast and complex network of roads as well as other infrastructure projects such as dams, hydropower projects, railways, and pipelines.
Pakistan’s interest in CPEC:
- Under the‘1+4’ cooperation framework of CPEC, ‘1’ represents ‘CPEC’ and the 4 includes Energy, Gwadar Port, Transport Infrastructure, and Industrial cooperation.
- The Chinese investments are supposed to boost Pakistan’s 274 billion dollar GDP by over 15 percent.
- Energy needs of Pakistan: Large-scale energy production has been termed as the biggest breakthrough of the project.
- Hydropower projects in this initiative can double Pakistan’s energy capacity.
- Infrastructure development & Employment Opportunities:
China’s interest in CPEC:
- Access to the Middle East and Europe: By shortening its route by about 12,000 km which is critical for energy imports.
- Gwadar Port provides a link between Maritime Silk Road and the Arabian Sea.
- Gwadar will have the estimated capacity to handle 19 million tonnes of crude oil per year, which will be sent to China after being refined at the port.
- The port at the mouth of the Persian Gulf provides China with the shortest route to the oil-rich Middle East, Africa, and most of the Western hemisphere
- At present, China transports 80% of its oil through the Strait of Malacca.
- China also has huge strategic and geopolitical advantages in the Indian Ocean region.
- Apart from these lucrative commercial benefits, China also has huge strategic and geopolitical advantages in the Indian Ocean region.
CPEC and its impact on India
- The planned CPEC route passes through POK and Gilgit-Baltistan, which India claims to be its own integral and indispensable territory, illegally held by CPEC also somewhat legitimizes
- Pakistan’s ownership over disputed PoK may lead to the internationalization of the Kashmir Issue which India doesn’t want.
- Apart from this India feels that the high economic stakes in the project will push China to ally with Pakistan on the Kashmir dispute.
- With the complete realization of CPEC, China will get a free corridor to move its armor and mechanized weapons which are a threat to India in the plains of Punjab and Rajasthan.
- In the guise of securing CPEC, China can permanently position troops on Pakistan soil not too far from the Indian
- Despite clarifications from China and Pakistan that the port at Gwadar will be used only for economic purposes, India fears that China may establish a naval base at Gwadar to ensure Chinese maritime hegemony in the Indian Ocean.
- India considers Gwadar Port as part of China’s String of Pearls” bases, that extends from its eastern coast to the Arabian Sea.
Counter measures by India
- In order to counter Chinese dominance in Gwadar Port, India has invested in Iran’s Chabahar port which is very near to Gwadar.
- Also, India, Iran, and Afghanistan signed a trade corridor deal giving India land access to Central Asia from Chabahar, bypassing Pakistan.
- India can work on improving the relationship with Pakistan as it can provide the shortest land route for us to access Central Asia.
- Therefore a good relationship with Pakistan can give a boost to our trade relations with central Asian countries.
- India should keep in mind that the realization of CPEC is important as a stable and economically strong Pakistan is necessary for peace and prosperity in the region.
Conclusion
- China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) can act as a catalyst for economic connectivity and integration in Central Asia, South Asia, and West Asia.
- However, it should not jeopardise the India’s sovereignty through any channel. India should highlight its concerns via diplomatic initiatives to address it fears.
- India should be cautious while explicitly opposing the project as it would strain the relationship with China.
- Last but not the least a prosperous South Asia is possible only if India and Pakistan leave their political clout and work closely with each other to find an amicable solution to the bilateral Issues.