Stop the free fall

• The ongoing tensions between India and Canada have begun to impact individuals and communities with ties to both nations. The rift, which stems from allegations surrounding the 2023 murder of Khalistan activist Hardeep Singh Nijjar, has strained bilateral relations, further complicated by accusations from Washington regarding a plot against Gurpatwant Singh Pannun.

Key Developments

Violence at Brampton Mandir:

• A consular camp organized by the Indian mission at the Hindu Sabha Mandir in Brampton was disrupted by Khalistan activists on November 3.
• The violence was followed by a retaliatory protest by a Hindu group, leading to further clashes.
• PM Modi condemned the incidents as deliberate acts of intimidation, while PM Trudeau called them “unacceptable.”

Arrests in Canada:

• Two individuals linked to Nijjar have been arrested, one of whom is reportedly wanted in India.

Diaspora Ties:

• Around 19 lakh people of Indian origin live in Canada (4% of its population), many requiring consular services, which are now facing disruptions.
• Impact on India-Canada Relations

Diplomatic Stability:

• Disruptions of routine diplomatic functions highlight concerns about Canada’s ability to ensure the security of diplomats.
• Both governments need to discourage activities that promote communal divisions or violence.

Trade and Economic Relations:

• India-Canada trade stands at $19 billion, with potential growth through a bilateral trade treaty that is currently stalled.
• While efforts have been made to insulate economic ties, visa suspensions on both sides are expected to impact business and travel.

Climate Cooperation:

• Despite differences, both nations share interests in climate change action and other global issues, areas that could foster continued collaboration.

Immigration Policy Changes:

• Canada’s tightening border policies and restrictions on student visas, driven by domestic opinion against high immigration levels, are likely to affect Indian students and professionals.

The Way Forward

Ensuring Diplomatic Security:

• Canada must uphold its responsibility to protect foreign diplomats and their functions under international conventions.

Managing Diaspora Dynamics:

• India’s engagement with its diaspora should emphasize its multi-religious and inclusive character, avoiding divisive politics.

Restoring Consular Services:

• Both nations should prioritize the continuity of consular services to minimize disruptions for citizens and businesses.

Resuming Dialogue:

• Resumption of stalled trade treaty negotiations and constructive diplomatic engagement can help rebuild trust.

Conclusion:

• While the road to normalizing relations may be long, both India and Canada must work to prevent further disruptions and promote mutual interests. The shared economic, cultural, and strategic ties between the two nations are too significant to be sidelined by the current diplomatic impasse.